The World Cup can often make or break a player's reputation. Producing the goods
at club level is all well and good, but the fact remains that the World Cup has
a special mystique and elegance all of its own. When it comes to picking who
will end up as top scorer at the World Cup things get tricky, because it isn't
about club level form anymore. The most talented stars week after week may line
up in a poor national side, unable to provide them with chances galore, while
second rate forwards may get an easy run in a good team. All in all, World Cup
top scorer is one of the toughest bets to make.
However, it's precisely because this market can throw up an unexpected winner
that a long odds player can delight those lucky enough to choose them. And since
the bookmakers know how varied the field and hard the pick, the price is often
rewarding even if a familiar name ends up on top of the pile. Let's take a look
at the best picks for top goalscorer in the World Cup betting:
Fernando Torres – Best Current Price 15.00
The Liverpool striker is, when fit, a force of nature that blows away even the
most seasoned of defenders. Torres has struggled with injuries this season, and
so the concern must be that he will not head to the World Cup fully fit.
However, a Torres underneath peak fitness can still score goal after goal,
producing remarkable shots and able to find the net from the most unlikely of
angles. In fact, with less than a full season behind him, and the might of a
world class Spanish team, Torres could be best placed to pop up as top
goalscorer. And with Spain likely to be involved in the latter rounds, Torres
should have the maximum opportunity to find the onion bag.
Wayne Rooney – Best Current Price 12.00
England's great hope has also suffered one or two knocks this season, but such
is his natural fitness that Rooney quickly shrugs them off, returning ahead of
even the most optimistic doctor's forecasts. The Manchester United striker will
spearhead England's World Cup charge, and in a group containing Algeria,
Slovenia and the United States, Rooney will have ample chance to fill his boots
before England get involved in the serious stuff. It's hard to think England can
win the World Cup without an on-fire Rooney, so if Fabio Capello's men do make a
charge then the striker has a great chance of ending up with the Golden Shoe.
Carlos Tevez – Best Current Price 41.00
Most Argentina watchers would probably point to Real Madrid marksman Gonzalo
Higuain or Lionel Messi as more obvious picks for the golden shoe, but Tevez has
enjoyed a brilliant campaign with Manchester City, and comes into the World Cup
in form. The 26-year-old picked up a reputation for being a hard working, but
not prolific striker: The thinking was that Tevez would run all day, but not be
a potent goal threat. Tevez's first season with Man City has proven this
assumption to be wrong. Still hard working, but also hard scoring, Tevez will
chase the most hopeless of causes and could represent some value beyond the
obvious Argentine choices.
David Villa – Best Current Price 10.00
The former Valencia hit-man is regularly described as the best finisher in La
Liga, which, given the Spanish league appears top of the charts at the moment,
must make him close to the best finisher in the world. Few who see Villa on a
weekly basis would disagree. At club level, with inferior players to Barcelona
and Real Madrid around him at Valencia, Villa looks so good it's actually hard
to believe he'd look better at the Camp Nou or Bernabeu – although he will get
his chance now Barca have snared him for £34M. With the Spanish national team he
continues to be a sensation and picked up the Golden Boot at Euro 2008. Villa is
the sensible choice to finish as the World Cup's top goalscorer, but because of
that he isn't the best priced.
Lionel Messi – Best Current Price 11.00
Journalists, pundits and commentators have simply run out of words to describe
the brilliance of Leo Messi. The little Argentine has shone out like a beacon
from the Camp Nou ever since he first pulled on a senior Barcelona shirt in
2004. Messi has been increasing his goalscoring season by season and, having won
so much, the World Cup is needed to complete an impressive set. There is also no
doubt that Messi has heard the whispers, those which say, to be considered as
good as the God-like Diego Maradona he must inspire Argentina to a World Cup.
The one problem he has encountered though, is that he has found it hard to
reproduce his club form for his country, with Maradona accused of using him
incorrectly. But few would back against Messi answering his critics in style in
South Africa.
Cristiano Ronaldo – Best Current Price 21.00
The most expensive player in the world has endured a disappointing season with
Real Madrid, but nevertheless few in Spain regret his arrival. Ronaldo has
produced some spectacular performances and Real Madrid have suffered whenever he
has missed games. The former Manchester United great is dedicated beyond belief
to his craft – his talent is not by chance. Portugal struggled at times to
emerge from what should have been a straightforward qualifying group and the
quality of Ronaldo's team-mates is a long way below that he finds in the Spanish
capital. In a group with Brazil, Ivory Coast and North Korea, it's hard to
escape the conclusion that Ronaldo will need to be on form for Portugal to
progress, and in a side which has traditionally struggled to find a competent
finisher, the Real Madrid man could fill that role with glee.
Robin van Persie – Best Current Price 21.00
The Arsenal striker saw his season badly interrupted by injury and his side's
title challenge go off the rails partly because of it. Strangely though this
could benefit van Persie during the World Cup as he finds his legs that much
fresher than opponents coming off the back of a full campaign. The fact that
Holland are an attacking side – they know no other way to play – is also going
to ensure van Persie has a great chance to find the back of the net. While a
group of Cameroon, Denmark and Japan are not easy opponents they are all
mid-ranking nations that it is not hard to imagine a Dutch team running riot
against.
Other options amongst the favourites:
Luis Fabiano – Best Current Price 13.00
The Brazilian is a hot-shot, but has been troubled by injury this year. In a
Brazil team where anyone can and does score, he risks seeing his goals shared
around.
Gonzalo Higuain – Best Current Price 19.00
Increasing in reputation at Real Madrid, Higuain can score goals. Argentina's
form is a worry though, as is the suspicion Diego Maradona does not hold him in
the very highest regard.
Didier Drogba – Best Current Price 34.00
A regular scorer for Chelsea, Drogba will suffer from being in a group with
Brazil and Portugal. He may well get a few against North Korea, but it's tough
from then on.